Makakilo, Hawaii 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

506
FXHW60 PHFO 251350
AFDHFO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
350 AM HST Wed Jun 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy trade winds will continue through the forecast period.
Expect enhanced shower activity through the rest of today,
trending drier thereafter for the latter end of the week. While
conditions begin to trend drier, light, embedded showers will
persist predominately across windward and mauka areas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure continues well northeast of the islands, maintaining
breezy trades through the next several days. Expect passing
clouds and showers to be embedded within the associated trades,
predominately impacting windward and mauka areas, though stray
showers may linger for leeward areas.

Meanwhile, a weak upper-level trough passing in the vicinity of
the islands will maintain presence through the day prior to
exiting to the north resulting in some weak instability
particularly near Kauai. During this time, shower activity will be
enhanced and periods of moderate rainfall can be expected.

Model guidance of the Euro and GFS are in fair agreement of
upper-level ridging developing east of the islands as the
aforementioned trough exits the area. While conditions will begin
to trend drier across most of the state, lingering instability may
enhance shower activity at times across the island despite overall
impacts remaining relatively insignificant. Otherwise, expect
moderate to locally breezy trades to continue, which may
facilitate light, embedded showers to windward and mauka areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
Breezy trades continue across the Hawaiian Islands through the
next several days, however, will begin to decrease in strength
after tonight. Expect periods of MVFR/IFR conditions at times in
showers embedded within these trades resulting in reduced
visibility, especially across windward and mountain areas.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to prevail for much of the
state.

AIRMET Tango remains in effect this morning for moderate
turbulence below 8000 feet downwind of island terrain. This AIRMET
will likely be needed through at least this evening as the breezy
trade winds persist.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure northeast of the state will drive moderate to
locally strong trade winds for the next several days. A weather
disturbance passing well north of the area late this weekend
should help to ease the pressure gradient and allow trades to
gradually ease into early next week. The Small Craft Advisory for
the windier waters of Maui County and the Big Island has been
extended through late this afternoon and may need to be extended
through tonight, though conditions appear borderline.

Nearshore buoys continue to indicate a 3 to 4 foot, medium
period, south swell passing through the local waters. This would
equate to above average surf along south facing shores, though
just shy of High Surf Advisory criteria. This swell should gradually
fade through Thursday, leaving behind background energy in its
wake. A smaller, long period, south swell is modeled to arrive
early next week.

Surf along E shores remains rough due to breezy trades expected
the next several days. Surf along N shores remains tiny through
the period.

Peak high tides associated with the lunar cycle will cause minor
coastal flooding along shorelines and low lying coastal areas
through Thursday. The Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect
for the daily peak tide each afternoon and may be exacerbated by
the current S swell.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM HST this evening for Maalaea Bay-
Pailolo Channel-Alenuihaha Channel-Big Island Leeward Waters-Big
Island Southeast Waters.


&&

$$


DISCUSSION...Pierce
AVIATION...Pierce
MARINE...Thomas